The sharpest ownership projections in DFS golf — and the tools to leverage them.
SlateSims pairs a purpose-built, continuously back-tested ownership model with hole-by-hole simulations, an optimizer, and exact contest-ROI math for DraftKings PGA DFS — plus free NFL advanced stats covering target share, snap share, routes run and expected fantasy points, and a free NFL player props tool with hit rates and matchup multipliers. Built by small-stakes DFS players, for small-stakes players — not syndicates running $25–$97/mo tools.
No credit card · Free during the beta · Built for the $1–$10/week DFS golf player
(leave-one-tournament-out)
salaries, status, payouts, model
projections → sim → optimize → ROI
Why SlateSims wins
In DFS golf, edge comes from leverage — being over or under the field on the right players. Leverage is only as good as the ownership number it's measured against. That number is what we obsess over.
Accuracy-first ownership
A LightGBM model, ensembled and back-tested every week. We publish our error (MAE) and show our work — nobody else in the space does.
Fully automated
DraftKings salaries, player IDs, OUT/WD status, and exact payouts pull themselves. The model retrains on its own. No weekly CSV grind.
The whole stack
Projections → hole-by-hole sim → optimizer (Sim Score) → contest ROI on exact DK payout tables → entries-file upload. SaberSim-grade, one tab.
Bring your own edge
Power users feed their own SG, odds, or projections and the model and sims run on their numbers. No competitor offers this.
Everything you need to attack a slate
🎲 Hole-by-hole simulations
Every golfer's tournament simulated thousands of times — birdie streaks, bogey-free rounds, eagles, the missed cut. Real boom/bust shape, not a flat projection with a guessed standard deviation.
🏆 Optimizer + Sim Score
Build hundreds of lineups ranked by a leverage-aware score that blends projection, ceiling, and ownership. Per-player min/max exposure, locks, and bans.
💰 Contest ROI
Score every lineup against an ownership-weighted field on the exact DraftKings payout table — expected ROI, cash %, and win % before you enter.
✋ Hand Build
For single-entry players: drop golfers in one at a time and watch your salary remaining update live. Save lineups and export straight to DK.
📈 Published accuracy
A live page tracks our ownership MAE vs. actual results, event over event. Proof, not promises — and your reason to trust the leverage.
⬆️ One-click DraftKings
Import salaries, then export an upload-ready CSV or fill your reserved entries template in DK's Name (ID) format. Names map to upload IDs automatically.
New: free NFL advanced stats
📊 Usage that predicts
Target share, snap share, air yards share and WOPR, plus routes run, TPRR and yards per route run. Opportunity is far stickier week to week than touchdowns, so it is what tells you who is next.
📉 Expected fantasy points
FPOE prices every target and carry by depth and field position, then subtracts it from what a player actually scored. Negative is the buy: the role is there and the points have not followed.
🆓 Free, no sign-up
Any week range you like, refreshed every Tuesday from nflverse and Next Gen Stats, every figure re-checked against its sources before it goes live. Open the NFL stats →
📈 Fantasy projections with a floor and a ceiling
Not a single number. Every player gets a median, a floor and a ceiling, because a projection of 12.4 is not meaningfully better than 11.9 and most of what separates them is touchdown luck. Volume is anchored to the betting market, which is the most accurate public forecast of workload there is, and the distribution around it comes from the player's own individual plays. Teammate correlation is measured rather than ignored, so a stack can be priced honestly. Open the projections →
🎯 Player props: hit rates, matchups and edge
Every Underdog line with the break-even price it implies, how often the player has actually cleared that number, and what the defense he is facing has allowed his position in that stat. Hit rates are weighted so games where he had a different role count for less, which is what stops a backup's history from reading like a starter's. Open the props tool →
We show our work
Every other tool asks you to trust their ownership. We publish ours. After each event, SlateSims scores its projection against the real DraftKings ownership and posts the error — head to head, even against your own model.
- Back-tested ~2.4% MAE across 20+ tournaments (leave-one-tournament-out).
- Per-event predicted-vs-actual archive that grows automatically.
- Bring your own projections and we'll score them side by side.
| Model | MAE (pts) |
|---|---|
| SlateSims | 3.05 |
| Field-average tools | typically higher |
Lower is sharper. We post this every week — the only ownership tool that does.
Built by small-stakes players, for small-stakes players
Playing $1–$10 a week on DraftKings PGA? SlateSims is free during the beta — no credit card, no catch. We're building this with real low-stakes DFS golf players, not syndicates running $25–$97/mo tools.
🆓 Free during the beta
Full access to ownership projections, hole-by-hole sims, the optimizer, and contest ROI. No credit card, no trial countdown.
🗣️ You shape the roadmap
Every beta user has a direct line to us. Send a suggestion through the feedback form below and real ones get shipped — fast.
💵 Priced for your bankroll, eventually
When pricing does arrive, it'll be built for the $1–$10/week DraftKings PGA player — and beta users lock in the best rate.
Free beta access, no card required. Get in →
From slate to lineups in three steps
Load the slate
Salaries, status, odds, and SG pull in automatically — or import your own. The ownership model runs the moment it loads.
Simulate & build
Run thousands of tournament sims, set your exposures, and build a pool ranked by leverage — or hand-build a single lineup.
Check ROI & upload
Score your lineups against the real contest payouts, then export an upload-ready DraftKings file. Done.
Join the free beta
Free during the beta — get the current slate, the ownership edge, and the whole toolkit ahead of this week's tournament. No credit card, and your suggestions help shape what we build next.
Share feedback
SlateSims is built with grinders, not just for them. Tell us what would make it your daily driver.
Contact us
Questions, feature requests, or partnerships? We answer fast.
FAQ
Is this just another optimizer?
No. The optimizer is table stakes. SlateSims' edge is the ownership model — the sharpest, most-tested number in the space — wired into a full sim and contest-ROI stack.
Which site do you support?
DraftKings PGA today: salaries, IDs, status, exact payouts, and upload files. More sites and slate types are on the roadmap.
Do I need my own data?
No — everything pulls automatically. But if you have an edge (your own SG, odds, or projections), you can feed it in and the model and sims run on your numbers.
What does SlateSims cost right now?
Nothing. SlateSims is free during the beta — full access, no credit card. When we do introduce pricing, beta users lock in the best rate, built for $1–$10/week play.
Will you take feature requests?
Yes — that's the point of the beta. Send a suggestion through the feedback form or email steve@slatesims.com, and real ones get shipped fast.